Tag Archives: yield curve

The Yield Curve: Is A U.S. Recession On The Horizon?

treasury yield curve,recession signals,economy

In my first job as a municipal bond analyst and strategist a key datapoint to consider was the steepness of the yield curve! When the curve was at its steepest, investors would be ‘getting paid’ in the form of higher yields to assume the price and reinvestment risk of moving out to longer maturities. When flat, meaning […]

Is The Treasury Market Sending An Ominous Message?

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For anyone who’s involved in an industry sensitive to the level of interest rates, any move up in yields can spell a major problem for business! Of course the mortgage industry comes immediately to mind and, by extension, real estate and by even further extension title insurance, etc. But what about peoples retirement funds, college […]